Market Analysis
GOLD
Gold prices are appreciating, reaching the upper boundary of the consolidation zone. Indicators show rising momentum—both the MACD and RSI confirm strong bullish volume. Price action remains in a clear uptrend, and we continue to look for more bullish opportunities.
Here are 7 catalysts currently pushing gold toward a breakout:
- Technical Momentum: MACD and RSI both signal strong bullish continuation.
- EU Tariff Delay: Trump’s decision to delay the 50% tariff on European goods to July 9 gave markets temporary relief.
- Ongoing Trade Uncertainty: Despite the delay, Apple faces a 25% tariff threat, increasing global trade tension.
- Tax Reform Impact: A new tax bill, passed by the House, is projected to widen the U.S. deficit by nearly $3 trillion over the next decade.
- Dollar Weakness: The Dollar continues to lose value, enhancing gold’s appeal.
- Risk-Off Sentiment: Mounting concerns over U.S. fiscal health and global trade spur safe-haven flows.
- Analyst Sentiment: Many analysts expect this to be gold’s best week in more than a month.
If these drivers align with technical confirmation, a major bullish move could unfold in the coming sessions.
SILVER
Silver prices are also rising, supported by bullish momentum in the MACD and RSI. A clean bounce from the EMA200 supports the bullish bias. A breakout above 33.5028 would signal strong continuation. We expect silver to mirror gold’s trajectory and remain focused on long setups.
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)
The Dollar is weakening, weighed down by delayed tariffs and aggressive spending policies. Trump’s iPhone tariff threat adds fuel to trade concerns. The MACD and RSI both show continued bearish volume and momentum. Technical structure confirms further selling pressure, and we maintain a bearish bias.
GBP/USD
The Pound is rallying on renewed hope for a trade deal with the EU. MACD and RSI show strong bullish volume. With Dollar weakness and improving sentiment, GBP/USD appears positioned for further gains. We stay long-biased.
AUD/USD
The Aussie broke out of its consolidation range and is pushing toward 0.65250. CPI and retail data releases this week will be critical. The MACD and RSI confirm bullish momentum. We anticipate more buying unless macro data disappoints.
NZD/USD
The Kiwi is also gaining, supported by bullish momentum in MACD and RSI. While a rate cut is expected this week, uncertainty about the RBNZ’s long-term policy may keep the pair supported. Watch for a possible consolidation before the announcement, but expect upside post-statement if sentiment holds.
EUR/USD
The Euro broke out of its previous range and is now trending upward. MACD and RSI both support continued bullish momentum. Trade talks between the EU and U.S. appear promising, adding to Euro strength. We continue to look for buying opportunities.
USD/JPY
The Yen is gaining as Japan benefits from higher investor risk appetite following tariff delays. Stocks and bonds are stabilizing, supporting the Yen. MACD and RSI suggest continued downside in USD/JPY. We remain bearish.
USD/CHF
The Franc is appreciating. A breakdown below prior support aligns with bearish MACD and RSI readings. Price action continues to follow through, and we expect further downside. Look for additional short opportunities.
USD/CAD
The CAD is strengthening after Trump eased tariff threats. This boosts risk appetite and supports the Canadian Dollar. MACD and RSI confirm bearish volume and momentum in USD/CAD. We anticipate continued selling pressure.
COT Reports Analysis
- AUD – WEAK (5/5)
- GBP – STRONG (2/5)
- CAD – WEAK (5/5)
- EUR – STRONG (3/5)
- JPY – STRONG (4/5)
- CHF – WEAK (5/5)
- USD – MIXED
- NZD – WEAK (4/5)
- GOLD – STRONG (4/5)
- SILVER – STRONG (5/5)
Final Thoughts
With 7 major catalysts converging—technical momentum, fiscal concerns, trade headlines, and sentiment shifts—gold is preparing for a powerful breakout. Silver is set to follow, while the Dollar continues to slide.
Forex markets are responding in kind: bullish trends are emerging in GBP/USD, EUR/USD, and AUD/USD, while USD/JPY and USD/CHF point downward. Stay alert for confirmation signals and be prepared to act as momentum builds. Visit: https://axelprivatemarket.com